The Japanese construction company Kajima Corp. has ridden a increase in developing semiconductor crops to a surge in its revenue and inventory price. Now, the Tokyo company will have to navigate bitter problems on the northern island of Hokkaido to retain up that achievements.
Kajima assisted Japan get off to a swift commence in creating its chip sector following governments about the environment regarded the will need for trusted silicon materials amid growing geopolitical tensions. The company led the speedy design of a new fabrication facility for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. on the southern island of Kyushu, bringing the project to fruition right before the US governing administration could dole out its to start with subsidy test to TSMC and other chipmakers for American fabs.
That constructing blitz turbocharged Kajima’s expansion, with its inventory selling price surging 86% in the earlier calendar year. Yet the company’s upcoming project provides an great obstacle: It is dependable for erecting an even extra superior chip fab, for the federal government-backed Rapidus Corp., on terrain the place snow, frozen floor and isolation from important inhabitants facilities develop substantial troubles. Koichi Takano, Kajima’s general manager for the challenge, vows to finish this chip fab on time way too.
“Less seasoned groups just just cannot cope with the career,” he said around Zoom from the building web site. “We, on the other hand, have viewed, touched and created the newest era of cleanse rooms for chip customers.”
This is not hyperbole. Kajima more than the final 10 years has led progress of at the very least 10 chip plants, the place semiconductors are crafted in so-referred to as cleanse rooms filtered of airborne impurities. The lower-profile, 184-yr-aged corporation has quietly grow to be Japan’s magic formula weapon for creating its semiconductor business.
Rapidus will existing new problems, on the other hand. The government-backed chip startup aims to start pilot lines subsequent year ahead of the targeted mass generation of 2-nanometer semiconductors in 2027. Kajima, which commenced performing on the factory in September, will have to comprehensive about half the facility by the stop of this calendar year so suppliers of chipmaking gear like ASML Holding NV can start installations from December.
At the same time, building is expanding far more highly-priced in Hokkaido. Level of competition for staff has intensified because of chronic labor shortages and rigid workplace regulations. Ski resorts on the island, together with the famed Niseko, are attempting their personal setting up surge. Charges for resources and heavy equipment have been inflated mainly because of the weak yen and Russia’s war in opposition to Ukraine.
The squeeze has established back again other developments. Yodobashi Holdings Inc. gave up on setting up a luxury lodge in the metropolis of Sapporo, even though Hokkaido Railway Co. pushed again its redevelopment ideas. In Niseko, genuine estate developers have pulled the plug on new assignments thanks to surging expenditures.
Rapidus has not slowed down at all. Although design initiatives in the snowy location ordinarily halt for wintertime, Kajima didn’t pause a solitary day. In its place, it coated huge swathes of the 5.29 hectare website with tents to secure the soil from snow, and then utilized heaters and followers to preserve the complete area warm so building could proceed. Chilly temperatures develop innumerable issues, which include the danger of damaging concrete as it dries.
Kajima retains staff members on area close to the clock, although it prices at the very least 25% a lot more to have individuals get the job done nights and weekends. The organization even produced special preparations to use local companies to eliminate snow from roadways close to the construction region in advance of staff start to get there at 6 a.m.
Denzai K.K., a business that supplies cranes for the construction site, said Kajima built distinct from the start off that the plan took precedence over value.
“They explained the function should not end, no make a difference what,” Denzai Main Govt Officer Kohki Uemura told Bloomberg Information, estimating Kajima is having to pay 10% to 15% extra for more recent, prime-of-the-line cranes to decrease complications.
Kajima’s Takano acknowledges there are hazards to meeting its December deadline, together with employee shortages or an unexpected surge in expenses, but he has sketched out each individual phase on the path to completion—with contingencies for pretty much each and every state of affairs.
Kajima programs to retain the services of as quite a few as 4,500 employees and get started night shifts shortly to accelerate the system. The company is mainly recruiting people today from Hokkaido and will place employees up in nearby apartments.
One lesson Kajima figured out from the Kumamoto venture was that workers developed traffic jams when they drove their possess vehicles to the building web site. So the team organized shuttle buses for employees and asked them to chorus from applying their individual cars.
Takano, 59, conveys the self-assurance of anyone who has labored on these forms of intricate jobs for four many years, such as a chip fab in Mie for Kioxia Holdings Corp. in 2022. “The development is precisely in line with what we experienced prepared,” he stated.
Takano claimed his private target is to go on his know-how to the following generation of Kajima staff. His staff has been working together for far more than two many years and they’re nearing retirement.
“This is a person of my past likelihood to pass the baton from the old man’s era to younger persons,” he said. “The Rapidus task is serious difficult for absolutely sure. But it is a little something we have to come to feel fortunate to be in a position to expertise.”
A clean energy industrial revolution reshaped the United States’ economy in 2023, supercharged by the Inflation Reduction Act and consumers embracing clean energy technology – America finally began building again, this time powering climate action.
But even though Red and Purple state economies are booming thanks to billions in new clean energy investment and onshored jobs, the specter of election year fights looms large in the picture for 2024.
So what will the year ahead hold for the booming U.S. clean energy economy?
Policy experts and clean technology executives shared five predictions for 2024: Rising rural support for renewable energy, a fierce fight over clean hydrogen tax credits, electric vehicles (EVs) in the election spotlight, surging carbon utilization-related investment, and a real estate boom for electric vehicle charging infrastructure.
Support for renewable energy in rural America will grow as new projects are built
2023 saw a rise in the politicization of renewable energy development with clean energy opponents increasingly mobilizing in rural communities to build opposition. This is set against the backdrop of new investments in renewables spurred by the Inflation Reduction Act and a looming presidential election, which will intensify debates over renewable energy projects across the country.
My company, Embold Research, recently explored opinions toward renewable energy and what we might expect in 2024. Overall, support for wind and solar in rural communities is growing and outweighs opposition in these typically conservative areas. Supporters are driven by concerns over climate change, the economy, and a desire for energy independence. Renewable energy is solidly supported by rural Independents, with 74% expressing total support for solar and 64% for wind. A slim majority of rural Republicans support solar (54%) and slightly over a third support wind (36%).
But going into 2024, we expect partisan divides will amplify opposition to renewable development and exploit renewable energy as a wedge issue to mobilize conservative rural voters. Self-identified "non-MAGA
MAGA
" rural Republicans show significantly stronger support (71% for solar, 47% for wind) than their MAGA counterparts, and MAGA Republicans compose a plurality of Republicans in these communities.
Many renewable energy developers have been cautious about engaging in local political debates and neglected to allocate the resources necessary to overcome ideology-based pushback. However, as local-level opposition increases, fueled by resources being poured into these communities, renewable companies must increase community engagement to understand local concerns. They will have to work closely with residents to share information and ensure communities can fully benefit from the clean energy transition. Locally trusted clean energy advocates must also share the opportunities clean energy projects bring to rural American communities.
If this happens, data suggests local sentiment will shift as residents become familiar with renewable energy projects and witness positive impacts in neighboring communities. As more projects get sited and demonstrate success stories, more people will realize the local benefits of these projects, creating a virtuous cycle.
But not without a fight.
A “fierce fight” over the Inflation Reduction Act’s 45V clean hydrogen tax credits
Rachel Fakhry, Policy Director, Emerging Technologies, Climate and Clean Energy Program, NRDC
2024 will see a fierce fight over implementation of the IRA 45V clean hydrogen tax credits. A roiling debate in 2023 muddled several high-stakes policy questions that are fundamental to the clean energy transition—hydrogen policy, what it means to actually be powered by clean energy, and global industrial commodity trade.
45V is the world’s largest clean hydrogen production subsidy. They are uncapped, expected to pay hundreds of billions to the nascent industry, tied to the greenhouse gas intensity of hydrogen projects, and the Treasury Department is responsible for prescribing how hydrogen projects will account for their emissions to qualify.
Late last week, Treasury published proposed guidance defining how hydrogen projects should account for their emissions, raising a challenge for electrolytic hydrogen projects, eligible for the generous top credit. Electrolyzers are power hungry—a large-scale hydrogen production facility could have similar electricity demand to a medium-sized city. Unless they are 100% powered by clean energy, electrolyzers will spur fossil fuel generators online to help meet their electricity demand, generating hundreds of millions of tons of increased emissions and spiking electricityprices.
The fight will reach its apex in 2024 as Treasury finalizes guidance determining the course of this nascent industry, and whether hundreds of billions of dollars in subsidies will bolster or hinder our clean economic transition. Some of the broad loopholes Treasury is considering would cater to a few incumbent energy companies and act as a sledgehammer to the strong proposed rules.
The Biden administration must hold firm against expected lobbying to weaken 45V. Given the climate and consumer risks, Treasury must surgically providing additional leeway in final guidance. We will be closely watching.
Electric vehicles in the spotlight during the 2024 election
Rachel Muncrief, Acting Executive Director, International Council on Clean Transportation
“Election Year” – these two words will define 2024 in the United States. Jobs and the economy will again be central for voters – when haven’t they been? And there’s evidence that climate change continues to surge as a voting issue, especially for younger voters. Taking this into account, and considering broad media coverage of the UAW strikes, China’s role in the battery supply chain, and billions in investments being delivered by the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act and Inflation Reduction Act – I predict electric vehicles (EVs) will be in the spotlight during the 2024 election.
This might sound like good news for President Biden – who has worked to promote EVs and bolster U.S. EV manufacturing. And it would be good news, except…
More EVs means less burning of fossil fuels. And that means EVs have powerful, well-funded opponents who don’t care about facts. Their strategy centers on sophisticated misinformation campaigns and big donations to anti-EV candidates; their aim is to make EVs a polarizing political issue.
That polarization is frustrating to those of us who work on clean transportation. We know EVs are a better technology – more fun to drive, quieter, lower maintenance. They’re a cleaner technology – much lower emissions, even when considering mining for battery materials. And, they’re a cheaper technology – some are already cheaper than comparable conventional models and others will get there soon.
So EVs will be centerstage in this election - but will facts or propaganda win the debate? Only time will tell.
Investment in carbon utilization fuels emissions reductions
Etosha Cave, Co-Founder and Chief Science Officer at Twelve
In 2024, we expect a surge in carbon utilization-related investment, which is carbon dioxide (CO2) captured and upcycled into other products, rather than released into the atmosphere. There is growing recognition that carbon isn’t the enemy — wasted carbon is. Carbon Transformation and other utilization approaches are critical to reducing emissions from hard-to-abate industries and can transform everyday products into carbon sinks.
The aviation industry will continue driving most carbon utilization investment as airlines double down on sustainability commitments and support efforts to scale up production of power-to-liquid sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). We recently broke ground on the first commercial-scale U.S. plant for producing SAF from captured CO2, and the industry has a long way to go to scale production to meet global aviation fuel demand. The first commercial-scale facility is expected to reach a production capacity of 1 million gallons per year by the end of 2024, but that’s a drop in the bucket compared to the 8 million barrels per day the aviation industry currently consumes.
However, airlines recognize the critical role that power-to-liquid SAF will play meeting emissions reduction goals and are helping bring production to scale. SAF is necessary to reduce emissions from long-haul flights, which contribute a majority of CO2 aviation emissions, because of battery density limitations. Power-to-liquid SAF are newer to market than SAF made from biomass, but provide advantages in terms of emissions reductions and feedstock availability, and can reduce lifecycle emissions up to 90% while bio-based SAF delivers at most an 80% reduction on average.
Furthermore, we’re also seeing interest in SAF from corporations working to reduce Scope 3 emissions from business travel. We have a joint MOU with Alaska Airlines and Microsoft for this reason, and the first company to publicly support the production of E-Jet fuel wasn’t actually an airline, but Shopify.
Interest and investment in power-to-liquid SAF will reach new heights next year, driving the majority of carbon utilization conversations.
Billions spent on real estate to build electric vehicle charging infrastructure
Hannah Jacobus, Vice President of Real Estate at Voltera
Some $1 billion will be spent on acquiring real estate for fleet charging facilities within the next year, at least double that will be spent on public charging station sites.
In California, the competition will be highest, largely due to its regulations, like the California Air Resources Board's Advanced Clean Fleet Rule, which goes into effect on January 1, 2024, as well as the limitation of qualified and developable land in prime locations. Beyond California, competition for land will be greatest in states with lots of port activity, including in the Northeast, Midwest, Southeast, and Texas as again, land is limited in those areas.
Identifying and acquiring real estate for commercial zero emission vehicles (ZEVs) is made more complicated by the fact that many operators require their facilities to be strategically located in particular locations. This means many charging developers are often vying to deploy ZEV infrastructure facilities in constrained geographic areas, which often exacerbates time, complexity, and cost.
In areas where competition for sites is high and/or permitting is particularly complex and/or utility interconnection is particularly lengthy, developers have to evaluate multiple sites in order to ensure successful acquisition. This is of course only after identifying the target market and submarket – intensive processes on their own. This translates to drumming up the market, maybe with additional artificial demand due to multiple negotiations ongoing at once, and therefore drives costs up.
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